Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.025713 0.027749 0.029796 0.032003 0.034313 0.036657 0.039211
2025-11-16 0.021868 0.025051 0.028368 0.032069 0.036068 0.040246 0.044928
2025-11-23 0.019355 0.023172 0.027256 0.031922 0.037076 0.042566 0.048831
2025-11-30 0.017473 0.021739 0.026409 0.031850 0.037968 0.044590 0.052253
2025-12-07 0.015675 0.020231 0.025326 0.031372 0.038280 0.045862 0.054746
2025-12-14 0.014111 0.018868 0.024296 0.030849 0.038448 0.046892 0.056897
2025-12-21 0.012583 0.017440 0.023097 0.030042 0.038210 0.047397 0.058395
2025-12-28 0.011991 0.017094 0.023133 0.030642 0.039569 0.049699 0.061917
2026-01-04 0.011212 0.016465 0.022785 0.030747 0.040317 0.051272 0.064587
2026-01-11 0.010401 0.015746 0.022286 0.030633 0.040773 0.052483 0.066819
2026-01-18 0.009973 0.015489 0.022334 0.031164 0.041985 0.054568 0.070064
2026-01-25 0.009329 0.014914 0.021952 0.031140 0.042507 0.055825 0.072329
2026-02-01 0.008649 0.014285 0.021512 0.031071 0.043019 0.057130 0.074735
2026-02-08 0.008041 0.013727 0.021148 0.031090 0.043642 0.058584 0.077344
2026-02-15 0.007422 0.013115 0.020680 0.030949 0.044044 0.059753 0.079600
2026-02-22 0.006881 0.012580 0.020286 0.030878 0.044514 0.060991 0.081931
2026-03-01 0.006240 0.011859 0.019609 0.030410 0.044458 0.061569 0.083451
2026-03-08 0.005637 0.011154 0.018921 0.029897 0.044323 0.062030 0.084814
2026-03-15 0.004993 0.010344 0.018049 0.029106 0.043801 0.061989 0.085547
2026-03-22 0.004825 0.010266 0.018204 0.029694 0.045061 0.064169 0.089006
2026-03-29 0.004523 0.009955 0.018011 0.029797 0.045681 0.065543 0.091474
2026-04-05 0.004182 0.009556 0.017673 0.029686 0.046009 0.066541 0.093474
2026-04-12 0.004035 0.009474 0.017793 0.030206 0.047169 0.068596 0.096790